Tuesday, April 24, 2007

2007 NFL Draft Proposition Bets on Bodog - Picks 3 and 4 in Round 1

Here's my continuing coverage of the 2007 NFL Draft bets on Bodog.com.

In each of these bets, you get to select where each player will be selected.

Maximum bets are $100. If a team trades out of a pick, the bet still stands. You aren't betting on which team is picking a player, but on which pick that player goes.

For example, assume you choose Brady Quinn with the 3rd pick. If the the Browns trade down two slots and draft Brady Quinn with the 5th pick, you still lose. The team which trades into the 3rd pick would have to draft Quinn in that spot.

The Third Pick

The 3rd pick in Saturday's NFL draft currently belongs to the Cleveland Browns. Which player will be the 3rd pick in the 2007 NFL Draft?

Brady Quinn -140
Adrian Peterson +130
Any Other Player
+300
Joe Thomas +500

Romeo Crennel and Phil Savage are on a short leash in Cleveland, too. They need to start winning soon, which is highly difficult in a division which features Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Cincinnati. The Browns need players to help them win now.

Brady Quinn has been calling for the Browns to draft him. He is a native Ohioan who would be popular with the fandom. But he would be a project that might help the next coaching staff more than the current one.

Joe Thomas would fill a need the Browns have had since their expansion year. The Browns always have trouble in the offensive line. Solidifying it would help the running and passing game.

But running backs are the players who start quickest in the NFL. That's because running is largely an athletic position. Besides pass blocking schemes, players don't have to learn complicated defensive alignments. Their learning curve is smaller for passers and receivers.

Taking this into account, the Browns may draft Adrian Peterson. Along with Calvin Johnson, he is considered one of the two can't miss playmakers of this draft. The Browns supposedly have star receivers, so Peterson is the man who could make the difference for the Browns next season.

The Fourth Pick

The 4th pick in Saturday's NFL draft currently belongs to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Which player will be the 4th pick in the 2007 NFL Draft?

Calvin Johnson EVEN
Gaines Adams
+130
Joe Thomas +200

Any Other Player
+325

Everybody knows the Bucs will draft Calvin Johnson if he slips to #4. That's what makes him an even money pick at this spot. The question is, what are the chances the acclaimed best player in the draft makes it through three selections. That seems a little far-fetched to me.

If the Bucs want to draft Johnson, they are probably going to have to trade up to do so. If not, someone else might do the same. There's just too much interest in Calvin Johnson to assume he will make it to the 4th spot.

The funny thing is, I hardly ever hear what Tampa does if Johnson doesn't fall to them. Now that they have Jeff Garcia (and possibly Jake Plummer), the Bucs aren't going to be drafting a quarterback. Though they probably could use Adrian Peterson, they drafted Cadillac Williams as #5 overall pick only two years ago.

The Bucs need line help. An offensive tackle couldn't hurt, but their defense is starting to age. Besides Calvin Johnson, Gaines Adams is the player talked about the most as a possible Buccaneers draft choice. No wonder he's the #2 choice for this bet.

Other NFL Draft Posts:

2007 NFL Draft
Round 1 Pick 1-16
2007 NFL Draft Round 1 Picks 17-32
NFL Draft Bodog Bets - Picks #1 and #2

2007 NFL Draft Proposition Bets on Bodog - Picks 3 and 4 in Round 1