American Idol 2007 is down to the final nine contestants and
Bodog is taking bets on who this year's winner will be. Here are the Bodog odds:
Melinda Doolittle - 4/5
Jordan Sparks - 5/2
Blake Lewis - 4/1
Lakisha Jones - 5/1
Chris Richardson - 25/1
Sanjaya Malakar - 25/1
Gina Glockson - 30/1
Phil Stacey - 35/1
Haley Scarnato - 50/1
Everyone's wondering why
Sanjaya Malakar is still in the competition. There are several reasons this is the case. First of all, at this stage of the competition, standing out in a crowd is the most important thing. If there's something about you that people can cling onto and remember about you, that's good.
Say what you will about Sanjaya, but he stands out. Like Simon said, Sanjaya singing is like a child half-heartedly singing tunes for the gathering at a family reunion. He channels a little bit of that effeminate Michael Jackson thing. I mean, he's a real train wreck to watch.
And after the ponytail mohawk schtick, Sanjaya looks to be having fun with it. Up until that point, you kind of felt sorry laughing at the guy. Now he's a sensation.
Besides, there are whole websites these days dedicated to organizing votes for the worst contestant.
Howard Stern has urged his fans to do the same. Maybe one of these years, the perfect storm will happen and all the malcontents will vote a Sanjaya into the finals. With no overwhelming favorite, this could be the year.
At better than even-money odds,
Melinda Doolittle is installed as the overwhelming favorite. She's clearly the best singer and should have a nice recording career. I just don't know if America is going to vote her to be the American Idol.
There's a surprise or two every year in the voting. Melinda seems nice and talented, which should take her far in the competition. But once you get into the top four or five, the dynamics change a little bit. You have to ask yourself, "All those people who voted for so-and-so that got voted off last week; who are they voting for this week?"
Once you start figuring out who they are more likely to shift their votes to, American Idol voting makes a little more sense. That's why, in the last few weeks, votes can swing wildly from one to another. I'm betting Doolittle doesn't win the contest.
Jordan Sparks is my pick to win it. Jordan's got the second best odds. She can sing. She's young and has a little more energy surrounding her than Melinda. That spark might be the difference maker.
Blake Lewis gets love as the only guy most people think has a real chance. He's got his own style and he usually delivers a professional level performance. Despite being labelled as a beatboxer, Blake's songs tend to be among the most original scores on the show.
That being said, I think he gets the whammy around the four spot. This is the old Constantine thing at work. Constantine seemed to have a devoted following. But as other contestants left the show, their constituents shifted their votes to someone more mainstream. I think the mainstream voters won't vote for a beatboxer, because they think "that's just crazy". In Blake's case, that's a little unfair, because I'm no beatbox fan and I'm consistently entertained by the guy.
Lakisha Jones is another top favorite. Simon clearly likes Lakisha, which is always a help. She's also a top singer, though she tends to get outshined by Melinda Doolittle most weeks. That's probably going to turn into a problem for Lakisha around the round of five. I don't see her making it through.
Chris Richardson seems to have a following and he seems like a nice guy. Being a former college football player, you think he could play up that manly thing and get the girl vote. I'm certain that's why he's still in the competition. But that whiny style of singing I think turns a lot of people off. Great with the teenie boppers, but not enough to win.
Gina Glockson is my dark horse to win this year. She'll either get voted off in the next week or two or she become a major threat. The longer she stays in, the more dangerous Gina becomes. She's the Taylor Hicks of this year.
Last year, I would have bet a lot of money that Taylor wouldn't have won. He was just a little different, and I didn't think that was such a good thing in his case. But he had his own style that wasn't too offensive at the same time. That's what I'm seeing with Gina. She has the red stripe in her hair and is a little more contemporary than some of her competitors. Whether she means to or not, she gives off a working class vibe that innoculates her from any perceived "edgy" backlash.
If you want a long shot, take this bet. Just don't be surprised if you're cashing it in in the next week or two. That's why they call them long shots.
I was convinced
Phil Stacey would have been voted off weeks ago. He had the aura of someone ready to get voted off. Phil just didn't stand out in the crowd.
Since that time, I've decided I like the guy. I found out he was a navy man, so I want to support our troops. Also, he's a little better singer than I gave him credit for. I don't think Phil has a snowball's chance in Hell, but I hope he keeps moving on.
And then there's
Haley Scarnato. I'm very ambivalent about Haley.
On the one side, she's just not a very good singer. On the other side, she's the best looking woman left on the show. I like having at least one hottie to look at when I watch American Idol. It kind of loses its glamour when they're gone.
So I don't want to see Haley leave, though it's gotta be coming soon. Besides, her song every week makes me uncomfortable, anticipating whether it's going to be passable or just plain bad.
That's the picture from here. Hope everyone enjoys watching the final eight weeks of American Idol.